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Lithium revenue jumps 106% on just 2% more output, ban justified as pre-ban mining hit 4,300 tonnes/day

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The country’s sole minerals (except silver and gold) marketer and exporter, the Minerals Marketing Corporation of Zimbabwe (MMCZ), records a 106% Lithium revenue surge on only 2% more tonnage during Q1 2026, and it comes despite the fact that for the majority of March, no raw concentrate exports left the country, Mining Zimbabwe can report.

By Rudairo Mapuranga

The numbers prove what Mines Minister Dr. Polite Kambamura warned: pre-ban mining had become dangerously excessive, depleting Zimbabwe’s lithium deposits at an unsustainable rate.

According to the MMCZ report, Zimbabwe exported 240,826 metric tonnes of lithium in Q1 2026, valued at US$178.64 million, a 2% volume increase over Q1 2025 (224,610 tonnes) but a 106% leap in value from the US$84.19 million earned a year earlier.

The arithmetic that silences doubt

The ban on raw concentrate exports took effect on 26 February 2026. That means that for approximately 31 days of March, no shipments occurred.

  • Yet the quarterly tonnage still exceeded the previous year’s full quarter.
  • Let us calculate the daily extraction rate before the ban:
  • Q1 2025 (no ban, full 90 days): 224,610 tonnes ÷ 90 days = 2,496 tonnes/day
  • Q1 2026 (exports only from Jan 1 to Feb 25 – 56 days): 240,826 tonnes ÷ 56 days = 4,300 tonnes/day
  • That is a 72% increase in the daily mining rate in early 2026 compared to early 2025.

Minister Kambamura had stated that some producers were “shipping out a lot of lithium concentrate and stockpiling out of the country” to leave nothing in the ground by the January 2027 deadline. The MMCZ data confirms that the warning was not speculation; it was a mathematical certainty.

If the ban had not been imposed on 26 February, the projected Q1 2026 total would have reached over 387,000 tonnes, a 72% surge in volume, not the 2% actually recorded. Depletion was already underway.

Revenue surge proves value, not volume, is the future

Despite losing an entire month of exports, Zimbabwe more than doubled its lithium revenue. The 106% surge, from US$84.19 million to US$178.64 million, came on almost the same tonnage. That means under-invoicing has been stopped, and true market value is finally being captured.

Dr. Nomusa Jane Moyo, General Manager of the MMCZ, said lithium recorded the strongest mineral performance of the quarter. She projected that, with the shift to local processing, annual lithium revenues could surpass US$1 billion.

“Zimbabwe is a critical and vertically integrated partner for the world’s leading battery manufacturers,” Dr Moyo said.

A question of facts, not feelings

The government said mining was excessive. The MMCZ data proves it: 4,300 tonnes per day before the ban, versus 2,496 tonnes per day a year earlier.

The government said revenue would surge. The MMCZ data proves it: a 106% increase on just 2% more rock.

The ban was not a disruption. It was a data-driven necessity.

And the only remaining question for foreign miners is this: What will you build on Zimbabwean soil to process what remains?

Because the era of shipping out rock by the trainload for pennies is over. The numbers have closed that chapter.

Gold buying prices in Zimbabwe per gram/ ounce, 14 May 2026

Gold buying prices in Zimbabwe per gram/ ounce, 14 May 2026, from the official gold buyer and exporter Fidelity Gold Refinery (FGR).

1 oz = 31.1035 g

CategoryPrice ($/g)Price ($/oz)
SG 90% and above140.414,367.24
SG 85% but less than 90%138.934,321.21
SG 80% but less than 85%137.444,274.87
SG 75% but less than 80%135.954,228.52
Sample (5–10g)133.724,159.16
Fire Assay CASH141.154,390.26

 

Note: The Fire Assay cash price applies to gold above 100g, with no sample deduction.

A sample of not more than 10g is deducted for the Fire Assay Transfer price.


#GoldPrices #GoldBuying #GoldMarket #GoldTrading #GoldRate #GoldPriceToday #GoldNews #PreciousMetals #GoldIndustry #GoldEconomy #FidelityGoldRefinery

‘Mammoth but possible’: Mutapa lays out realistic Zisco revival blueprint as integrated steel ecosystem takes shape

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The rusted and dilapidated infrastructure at the defunct Zimbabwe Iron and Steel Company (Zisco) does not spell the end of its revival, only the end of the old plant, Mutapa Investment Fund Deputy Chief Investment Officer Ernest Denhere has said, as he laid out a pragmatic, resource backed pathway to breathing life back into the country’s industrial steelmaking heart.

By Rudairo Mapuranga

Speaking during a Parliamentary Public Accounts Committee tour to the fund’s mining assets, Denhere gave a frank assessment of the challenges while pointing to the overwhelming advantages that still make Zisco’s revival a realistic national project.

“The only part that is the plant, as you saw, yes, it’s not oxidised, it’s rusty, and certainly you would need to bring in a new plant,” Denhere said. But he immediately pivoted to the fundamentals that truly matter in mining and heavy industry: the resources.

“If you’ve got the resource, that’s your big thing. There’s an iron ore resource at this point, there’s limestone, the coal is there,” he said. “So the foundations to resuscitating it, in terms of putting in a new plant, now depend on what is the cost of those technologies.”

A steel ecosystem springs to life around Zisco

Crucially, Denhere acknowledged a reality often lost in the revival debate: Zisco is not entirely dead. While a full conventional steelmaking operation has yet to be restored, parts of the entity are already active and integrated into Zimbabwe’s emerging steel value chain.

The limestone from the Manhize steel plant is coming from Zisco, the Deputy CIO confirmed, while Lancashire Steel, a Zisco subsidiary, is currently operating, taking steel feed from Dinson Iron and Steel Company to produce finished wire products. Lancashire Steel is reportedly poised to resume wire mill production, with plans to manufacture wire rods, drawn wire, barbed wire, and galvanised wire.

These partial operations demonstrate that the strategic integration MIF has been championing since taking over Zisco is already delivering concrete industrial linkages.

Strategic integration: the MIF advantage

The transfer of Zisco into the MIF portfolio through Statutory Instrument 58 of 2026 was a deliberate strategic act.

By housing Zisco alongside Hwange Colliery, Sable Chemicals, the National Railways of Zimbabwe, and ZESA, all under one sovereign wealth umbrella, the government is betting that vertical and horizontal integration can solve a problem that isolated management could not. “The coke batteries need coal; Hwange supplies it. The furnaces need oxygen; Sable provides it by pipeline. The plant needs to move iron ore in bulk; NRZ is the rail backbone,” one parliamentary oversight report noted. This integrated strategy is already starting to yield real synergies.

Weighing the technical options

Denhere’s comments come as the MIF finalises its technical assessment of what form a revived Zisco should take. The options being considered include:

Full conventional steel plant revival using modernised blast furnace technology;

Integration with existing and planned Dinson capacity to focus on specialised steel products that complement Manhize’s output;

Phased rehabilitation starting with lower capital intermediate processing, such as limestone beneficiation into burnt lime for steelmaking, before expanding into full steel production.

Downstream first approach leveraging Lancashire Steel’s existing operations to generate early revenue while larger capital is raised.

The decision will ultimately depend on a cost-benefit analysis of the available technologies.

“Are you only doing a steel plant, or are you going with the limestone? Let’s look at other things we can do. What should we do with zinc and fineries? So we’re still looking at all the options,” Denhere said.

A ‘mammoth task’ with a nation-building prize

Denhere did not sugarcoat the scale of the challenge. “Yes, it’s a mammoth task,” he admitted. But he returned to the core strategic truth that underpins the entire revival effort: resource-rich nations have the fundamental right and opportunity to build industries around their natural endowments.

“Whenever you’re endowed with natural resources as a country, you’ve got the opportunity to start new industries,” he said, adding with quiet confidence: “I think we’ll be able to unpack it and hopefully find a solution.”

At its peak in the 1990s, Zisco produced up to 1.2 million tonnes of steel annually, directly employed over 5,500 workers, and supported an estimated 50,000 jobs in downstream industries such as construction, engineering, and manufacturing. Zimbabwe currently imports over US$256 million worth of steel products each year, a massive drain on foreign currency that could be redirected into domestic value addition.

A revived Zisco, operating alongside Dinson and Lancashire, would not only reduce that import bill and conserve foreign currency but also expand the national tax base through industrial activity, payroll taxes, and downstream manufacturing growth.

For Zimbabwe, the path forward is pragmatic: accept that the old plant cannot be revived, but the resources are there, the ecosystem is forming, and the sovereign wealth fund has the long-term mandate to engineer a solution. As Denhere put it, the task is mammoth, but with the right technology, the right partners, and the right policy environment, it is entirely possible.

Gold buying prices in Zimbabwe per gram/ ounce, 13 May 2026

Gold buying prices in Zimbabwe per gram/ ounce, 13 May 2026, from the official gold buyer and exporter Fidelity Gold Refinery (FGR).

1 oz = 31.1035 g

CategoryPrice ($/g)Price ($/oz)
SG 90% and above140.714,376.57
SG 85% but less than 90%139.234,330.55
SG 80% but less than 85%137.744,284.22
SG 75% but less than 80%136.254,237.89
Sample (5–10g)134.014,168.26
Fire Assay CASH141.464,399.89

 

Note: The Fire Assay cash price applies to gold above 100g, with no sample deduction.

A sample of not more than 10g is deducted for the Fire Assay Transfer price.


#GoldPrices #GoldBuying #GoldMarket #GoldTrading #GoldRate #GoldPriceToday #GoldNews #PreciousMetals #GoldIndustry #GoldEconomy #FidelityGoldRefinery

Zimbabwe Defends Lithium Wealth: Export Quotas Secure Future Until 2027 Ban

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In a decisive display of economic sovereignty, Zimbabwe has reaffirmed that its new lithium export quotas are more than sufficient to sustain mining operations until the full ban on raw concentrate exports takes effect on 1 January 2027, Mining Zimbabwe can report.

By Rudairo Mapuranga

Speaking at a post-Cabinet briefing, Deputy Minister of Mines and Mining Development, Dr Polite Kambamura, laid bare the government’s rationale for the bold 26 February intervention that halted all raw lithium exports. Far from a sudden crackdown, Dr Kambamura explained that the move was a necessary response to years of silent plunder.

“The Cabinet gave a notice in June 2025 that beginning 1 January 2027, no exports of lithium concentrates would be allowed,” he said. “We advised producers to build lithium sulphate plants. However, the Cabinet observed that a significant part of the sector failed to develop any new business practices.”

According to Dr Kambamura, some lithium producers engaged in systematic abuse, including under declaration, under invoicing, and channelling their approved export capacities to middlemen who own no mines of their own.

“Some were shipping out large quantities of lithium concentrate and stockpiling them outside the country,” he revealed. “The aim was clear: by the time the January 2027 deadline arrived, there would be no resource left to talk about.”

That stark warning led the government to act immediately. On 26 February, Zimbabwe banned exports of raw lithium concentrate to force producers back to the negotiating table. “Some producers had already approached my office to say, ‘We no longer have a deposit. What do you want us to do?’” Dr Kambamura recalled.

A Monitoring Mechanism, Not a Weakness

To address these abuses without collapsing the industry, the government introduced calibrated export quotas. Dr Kambamura was emphatic: these quotas are not a concession to foreign mining houses but a strategic tool to enforce accountability.

“The export quotas we introduced are enough to see producers through the period until they set up lithium sulphate plants,” he stated. “We have used those quotas as a monitoring mechanism. Are they implementing government conditions? Are they building separate facilities to extract other economic minerals within the lithium concentrations?”

The Deputy Minister clarified that only six large lithium producers were approved to build concentration facilities in Zimbabwe. Those same producers made binding commitments that by 1 January 2027, they would have operational lithium sulphate or lithium carbonate plants.

“Once we are satisfied that they have built enough processing capacity, we will open up the quotas further, but only for lithium salts, not raw concentrates,” he said. “Zimbabwe will finally benefit from its own lithium next year.”

From Passive Exporter to Industrial Powerhouse

This policy shift signals that Zimbabwe is no longer a passive player in the global energy transition. By halting raw mineral exports and enforcing quotas that prioritise local beneficiation, the government has transformed a historic vulnerability into a source of national leverage.

Dr Kambamura’s message was unmistakable: the era of foreign middlemen stripping Zimbabwe’s resources for pennies is over. The quotas are not a retreat but a controlled ramp towards full-scale local processing. They ensure that the country’s lithium wealth will not be stockpiled abroad before the 2027 ban takes effect.

As global lithium prices surge in response to Zimbabwe’s assertive policy, one question now echoes from Harare to the world’s battery capitals: What will foreign investors build on Zimbabwean soil, not just extract from it, once the full ban on raw concentrate exports comes into force in 2027?

Boost for Miners as Online Export Permit System Now 96% Complete

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Zimbabwe’s long-awaited Online Mineral Export Permit System is now 96% complete, marking a significant step forward in efforts to modernise mineral exports and ease long-standing bottlenecks in the sector, Mining Zimbabwe can report.

By Ryan Chigoche

The latest update was delivered during the 14th Cabinet briefing, which said the progress had been presented by the Minister of Mines and Mining Development, Polite Kambamura, as part of the Ministry’s broader economic transformation agenda.

“In terms of inclusive economic growth and structural transformation, the Minister of Mines and Mining Development, Honourable Polite Kambamura, highlighted the following projects: i. Establishment of an Online Mineral Export Permit System which is now 96% complete,” the government said.

For a sector that has long struggled with slow and paper-heavy export processes, the update is more than just a percentage point; it points to a system that is finally nearing the finish line.

Once operational, the platform is expected to streamline approvals, improve transparency, and cut down the need for physical paperwork, which has often been at the centre of delays.

The timing is also significant. The push to digitise export permits comes after recent government efforts to tighten control over mineral exports following concerns around malpractices, leakages, and inefficiencies in the system.

In that context, the new platform is expected to do more than just improve speed; it is also meant to strengthen compliance and restore confidence in the export process.

However, that said, the industry has heard “almost complete” before. For some time now, the system has been described as being in its final stages; for example, in May 2025, it was said to be 90% complete.

While the 96% figure is encouraging, miners will be watching closely to see when it actually goes live and starts making a difference on the ground.

That urgency is not without reason. As reported by Mining Zimbabwe, delays in export approvals remain a major challenge, with some producers reportedly waiting between two to six months for clearances, even when all paperwork and off-take agreements are in place.

Much of the frustration, industry players say, stems from coordination gaps between the Ministry of Mines and the Minerals Marketing Corporation of Zimbabwe, which have slowed decision-making and added layers to the approval process.

The consequences are already being felt. Some off-takers have begun pulling back from deals due to uncertainty, while others are turning to faster-moving jurisdictions such as Zambia and Mozambique.

Against that backdrop, the near completion of the online system brings a sense of cautious optimism.

The Minister of Mines also updated the government on the progress of several key mining and energy infrastructure projects across the country, highlighting continued momentum in industrial development.

These include the implementation of the Fife Miles Industrial Park second phase expansion in Hwange, Matabeleland North Province, alongside associated power plant and cement plant expansions, which are all progressing towards second phase completion.

He further noted that the Dibon Mines tungsten processing plant in Chiredzi, Masvingo Province, is on course for completion, while the Palm River Energy Metallurgical Special Economic Zone second phase expansion project in Beitbridge, Matabeleland South Province, is now about 90 per cent complete.

In addition, work is advancing on the establishment of the Gold Service Centre in Mberengwa, Midlands Province, as well as the Empress Mine gold processing plant in Mashava, Masvingo Province, both of which are reported to be on course.

What a 0.0012% Shareholder Can Do: RioZim and the Limits of Corporate Control

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A fresh application to place RioZim Limited under corporate rescue has once again drawn attention to the company’s financial position, this time from a shareholder holding just 0.0012% of its issued share capital, Mining Zimbabwe can report.

By Ryan Chigoche

The filing comes less than a year after a similar attempt by the Zimbabwe Diamond and Allied Minerals Workers Union (ZDAMWU), which was dismissed by both the High Court and the Supreme Court. That earlier case placed RioZim’s financial position under judicial scrutiny, and while the company successfully defended it, the emergence of a second application has renewed focus on what corporate rescue law actually allows and what it tests.

What has drawn particular attention is not only the repeated application, but also the applicant’s profile. A shareholder holding such a marginal stake would ordinarily have no practical influence over corporate decision-making. RioZim has emphasised this point, describing the allegations as “bare and unsubstantiated.”

But legally, that framing misses the central issue.

What the law actually prioritises

Zimbabwe’s corporate rescue regime is governed by Part XXIII of the Insolvency Act [Chapter 6:07]. Its focus is not ownership size or corporate influence, but financial condition and viability.

At the heart of the framework is the statutory test for financial distress. Section 122 states that:

“A company is financially distressed if it appears to be reasonably unlikely that the company will be able to pay all of its debts as they become due and payable within the immediately ensuing six months.”

This makes corporate rescue a forward-looking assessment, not a reaction to current default alone.

Equally important is who is allowed to approach the court. Section 124 provides that an application may be made by:

“an affected person,” a category that includes shareholders, creditors, employees and trade unions, with no minimum shareholding requirement attached.

In effect, Zimbabwean law deliberately separates the right to file from the ability to control, placing emphasis instead on whether the allegation of distress has substance.

Where the court’s attention shifts

A corporate rescue legal expert who spoke to Mining Zimbabwe on condition of anonymity said the size of the shareholding is legally irrelevant once an application is before the court.

“The focus of the court is therefore not whether the applicant owns 0.0012% or 20%, but whether the underlying allegations have substance.”

According to the expert, the court will instead interrogate core indicators of financial distress, including whether the company can meet its obligations as they fall due, the extent of its debt exposure, creditor positions and the operational performance of its mining assets.

The assessment also extends to whether there is a realistic prospect of recovery through restructuring, recapitalisation, asset sales or strategic partnerships, and whether such intervention would produce a better outcome than continued deterioration or liquidation.

More than a shareholder dispute

Viewed in this context, the application begins to resemble less of a shareholder grievance and more of a broader test of financial and operational stability.

“From what is currently being alleged publicly, the application appears to go beyond a simple minority shareholder dispute,” the expert said.

That perspective becomes more significant when governance concerns are considered.

“If credible offers for joint ventures, recapitalisation, asset purchases or strategic investment were received by management or the controlling shareholder and were not properly disclosed to the board or the market, then serious governance questions arise,” the expert added.

Such issues, if substantiated, could shift the focus of the case beyond liquidity constraints to how the company is being managed and whether value is being preserved for all shareholders.

A source close to developments at the company echoed similar concerns, pointing to deeper structural issues around control and decision-making.

“They run the company as if it is their own private entity,” the source said. “The only way that company can be saved is through corporate rescue.”

The source further suggested that the concentration of control has enabled governance practices that may not align with expectations for a listed public company.

While these claims remain unverified, they highlight growing scrutiny around transparency, disclosure and decision making at RioZim.

Implications for a capital-intensive sector

RioZim Limited operates across gold, nickel and diamond assets in Zimbabwe, a sector characterised by high capital requirements, operational risk and sensitivity to liquidity constraints.

In such environments, corporate rescue provisions serve as an early intervention mechanism designed to preserve viable businesses rather than push them into liquidation.

The RioZim case illustrates a defining feature of Zimbabwe’s insolvency framework: access to court is deliberately broad, but success depends entirely on evidence.

What ultimately matters

Despite the focus on the 0.0012% shareholding, Zimbabwean law is clear that ownership size is not a deciding factor in corporate rescue proceedings.

What the court will ultimately determine is whether the applicant can demonstrate two key elements:

That the company is financially distressed as defined under the law and that there is a reasonable prospect of rescuing the business

If both thresholds are met, corporate rescue may be granted. If not, the application will be dismissed.

Either way, the case reinforces a central principle of Zimbabwe’s insolvency regime: even the smallest shareholder can initiate a high-stakes legal process, but only credible evidence can sustain it.

Gold buying prices in Zimbabwe per gram/ ounce, 12 May 2026

Gold buying prices in Zimbabwe per gram/ ounce, 12 May 2026, from the official gold buyer and exporter Fidelity Gold Refinery (FGR).

1 oz = 31.1035 g

CategoryPrice ($/g)Price ($/oz)
SG 90% and above141.624,404.88
SG 85% but less than 90%140.124,358.22
SG 80% but less than 85%138.624,311.57
SG 75% but less than 80%137.124,264.91
Sample (5–10g)134.874,194.93
Fire Assay CASH142.374,428.21

 

Note: The Fire Assay cash price applies to gold above 100g, with no sample deduction.

A sample of not more than 10g is deducted for the Fire Assay Transfer price.


#GoldPrices #GoldBuying #GoldMarket #GoldTrading #GoldRate #GoldPriceToday #GoldNews #PreciousMetals #GoldIndustry #GoldEconomy #FidelityGoldRefinery

Mutapa Gold injects $12m exploration war chest, targets 10-year life of mine across all operations

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Mutapa Gold Resources has allocated a capital budget exceeding US$12 million for exploration in 2026 alone, as part of an aggressive drive to extend the life of mine (LoM) for each of its operating assets to a minimum of 10 years, the Deputy Chief Investment Officer of the Mutapa Investment Fund has revealed.

By Rudairo Mapuranga

Speaking during a visit by the Parliamentary Public Accounts Committee to the Freda Rebecca Gold Mine on Monday, Ernest Denhere outlined a sweeping geological expansion programme aimed at unlocking new resources, de-risking future production, and converting Zimbabwe’s vast mineral endowment into bankable reserves.

“We are expanding geological programmes to unlock new resources, extend the life of our assets, and de-risk future production,” Denhere said. “For 2026, a capital budget in excess of $12 million has been allocated for exploration across Mutapa Gold Resources’ entities, aiming to achieve a life of mine of 10 years for each operation.”

Denhere provided a candid assessment of Mutapa Gold’s current reserve positions, revealing significant variance across its flagship mines:

Operation | Current Life of Mine | Target / Notes
Freda Rebecca | 4 years | Immediate exploration priority
Jena Mines | 6 years | Expansion to 100 kgs/month planned
Shamva Mine | 15 years | Conditional on scaling production to Freda’s level

The figures underscore the urgency of the exploration drive. Freda Rebecca, one of Zimbabwe’s most storied gold producers, has only four years of remaining reserves at current extraction rates, making the US$12 million exploration push critical to its survival.

Mutapa Gold Resources currently produces an average of 300 kilograms of gold per month across its portfolio. Denhere confirmed that the company is targeting a 90% increase to 570 kgs per month through a combination of exploration, operational optimisation, and capital investment.

Key production targets include:

  • Shamva Mine: Current production of 65 kgs per month will rise to 200 kgs per month, more than tripling output, provided it scales up to Freda Rebecca’s operational level.
  • Jena Mines: Will increase to 100 kgs per month, up from its current baseline.
  • Freda Rebecca: Expected to benefit directly from the exploration programme to extend its LoM beyond four years, stabilising production.

The $250 million life-of-mine expansion plan

Denhere disclosed that Mutapa Gold Resources requires an estimated US$250 million for full life-of-mine expansion across all assets. To kickstart this funding, the company is currently working on a local debt syndication of US$75 million.

“In line with NDS2’s emphasis on resource mobilisation and capital investment-led growth, data-driven exploration and strategic partnerships will convert Zimbabwe’s mineral endowment into bankable reserves, crowding in capital, stimulating regional development, and supporting long-term economic stability,” he said.

The US$12 million exploration budget represents a significant shift from reactive mining to proactive geological investment. By targeting a 10-year LoM for each operation, Mutapa Gold is seeking to:

  • De-risk future production through systematic resource definition
  • Attract additional capital by demonstrating reserve longevity
  • Align with the National Development Strategy 2 (NDS2) agenda of capital investment-led growth
  • Convert mineral endowment from speculative resources to bankable reserves

The presence of the Parliamentary Public Accounts Committee at Freda Rebecca signals heightened legislative interest in the performance of state-owned and sovereign wealth-backed entities. Denhere’s detailed disclosure of capital budgets, reserve lives, and production targets provides the committee with clear benchmarks against which Mutapa Gold’s performance can be measured.

Caledonia Share Price in Focus as EBITDA Jumps 50% on Gold Price Surge

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Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc is likely to draw renewed investor attention after posting a sharp 50.2% increase in EBITDA to US$33.87 million for the first quarter of 2026, a performance that strengthens the group’s earnings profile despite softer production, Mining Zimbabwe can report.

By Ryan Chigoche

With gold equities increasingly trading as a proxy for bullion prices, the company’s share price outlook is now closely tied to its ability to convert elevated gold prices into sustained earnings and cash flow growth.

A key metric underpinning this narrative is EBITDA, earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortisation, which strips out financing and accounting effects to show the underlying strength of operations.

In capital-intensive sectors such as mining, EBITDA is closely watched by investors as it provides a clearer picture of operational efficiency, margin resilience, and the capacity to generate cash to support dividends and expansion.

Caledonia’s latest numbers highlight this dynamic. While gold production from its flagship Blanket Mine fell 20.9% to 14,767 ounces, the impact on earnings was more than offset by a 66.3% surge in the average realised gold price to US$4,816 per ounce.

This translated into an 18.3% rise in revenue to US$66.43 million and a 69.4% jump in profit after tax to US$18.91 million, while free cash flow more than doubled to US$12.28 million, key indicators that the business is still generating strong returns even under operational pressure.

The production decline was linked to constrained access to higher-grade ore, with head grade dropping from 3.1 g/t to 2.5 g/t. This weighed on recoveries and drove costs higher, with on-mine costs rising to US$1,740 per ounce and all-in sustaining costs averaging US$2,765 per ounce.

Even so, the broader investment case remains intact. Management pointed to improving grades through the quarter and into April, suggesting that output and cost performance could strengthen in the second half of the year. Full-year production guidance of 72,000 to 76,500 ounces has been maintained, with output expected to be weighted towards H2.

For shareholders, the combination of stronger earnings and cash generation is already feeding into returns. Earnings per share rose 77.8% to US$0.80, while the company declared a quarterly dividend of US$0.14 per share, reinforcing confidence in the sustainability of payouts.

Beyond near-term performance, investors are also tracking progress on the Bilboes gold project, where financing discussions continue following a US$150 million convertible notes raise earlier this year. The project represents a potential step change in production capacity and could become a key driver of future valuation.

In the near term, Caledonia’s share price trajectory will likely hinge on two key variables: continued strength in gold prices and evidence that operational recovery at Blanket is translating into higher output and lower costs. For now, the sharp uplift in EBITDA and cash flow provides a solid foundation for market support.