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Despite talk of coal’s demise, it still powers the world

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Environment, Tourism, and Hospitality Industry Minister Mangaliso Ndlovu this week told BBC HardTalk host Stephen Sackur that Africa should be allowed to benefit from its natural resources as it is also playing its part to mitigate the adverse effects of climate change.

He said despite the drive toward renewable energy such as solar, coal will remain a source of energy in the foreseeable future.

“For coal we will not move at a faster pace because we still believe our emissions are very insignificant compared to developed nations.

“You will agree with me that the major emitters have moved slowly out of that because they know that it’s benefiting their economies. I think we need to also give Africa a chance. I think Africa can still benefit from its resources,” said Minister Ndlovu.

Minister Ndlovu and Zimbabwe, it seems, are not the only ones who think coal still has a future.

For all the talk of ditching fossil fuels to fight climate change, coal remains king in much of the world.

The amount of electricity generated from coal jumped 7 percent in the developing world last year, according to BloombergNEF’s annual Climatescope report that evaluated more than 100 nations. It’s the biggest increase in five years.

While coal consumption is sliding in the US and Europe, it’s still cheaper than wind or solar in many emerging markets. That makes it an appealing choice in China, India and other nations seeking cheap electricity to lift residents from poverty.

Since the start of the decade, coal use has jumped 54 percent in the developing world, presenting huge challenges to the push to stave off the most dire impacts of climate change.

“If we really want to limit global warming, we need to start replacing coal plants,” said Luiza Demoro, lead author of the report.

“If we need to rely on economics, it’s going to take a really long time.”

The study also found investments in clean energy fell 21 percent, to $133 billion, across emerging markets last year, as China, India, and Brazil all cut back.

The report comes as the impacts of climate change become increasingly stark. In the last month alone, wildfires have devastated swaths of Australia, floods have paralysed Venice and California utilities have plunged millions of people into darkness to prevent live power lines from sparking blazes after years of drought.

The continued use of coal in the developing world highlights the uneasy relationship the world has with the fuel. While many developing nations including China and India have pledged to limit emissions as part of the Paris climate accord, they’re faced with the dilemma of also bringing affordable electricity to rural regions.

Renewable power won’t be cost-competitive with coal in some developing countries until about 2025, Demoro said.

That’s why BNEF expects carbon emissions from power plants in emerging markets to increase through the middle of the next decade.

Coal accounted for about 47 percent of all generation last year in the nations BNEF studied, which include most of South and Central America, Africa and Asia, and parts of Eastern Europe. Globally, it accounts for about 40 percent of power.

This year, the amount of electricity overall coming from coal-fired generation plants is forecast to fall 3 percent this year, according to Carbon Brief. But it still dominates in emerging markets. While clean energy accounted for just over half the capacity added in developing nations last year, wind and solar farms can’t run around the clock. So new coal and gas plants will actually supply more electricity.

“There’s more bad news than good news,” Demoro said. — Bloomberg

Zisco US$1bn deal collapses

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R and F, the Chinese investor that was looking at acquiring a stake in the Zimbabwe Iron and Steel Company, has advised Government that it is pulling out of the deal.

Several sources within Government told Business Weekly that efforts to renegotiate the deal, agreed on under the previous administration, were unsuccessful.

The deal entailed the acquisition of ZISCO’s majority shareholding by R and F to pave way for the resuscitation of its Redcliff-based steel and iron plant at a cost of US$1 billion.

Following the review of the deal under the new dispensation, it came out the transaction had not been negotiated in good faith as it gave the investor “excessive offers”.

According to the sources, the deal was literally as good as mortgaging the country. Other concerns, which were raised by the Government were that R and F was not in steel making business, thus compromising its capacity to revive Zisco, once the largest regional integrated steelworks, from the operational point of view.

Apart from the mineral claims held by Zisco’s subsidiary, some of the assets that had not been factored when the deal was negotiated, include the company’s large real estate and a huge stockpile of scrap metal with an estimated value of US$40 million.

“R and F wrote to the Government advising that it was no longer interested. The parties could not agree after the new dispensation ordered the deal to be re-looked into.

“There are several issues the Government was not happy with.

“It is not like the Government wanted to sideline the investor, but wanted a win-win situation,” said one source.

Industry and Commerce Minister Dr. Sekai Nzenza, who recently took over the ministry following a recent Cabinet reshuffle, said she was yet to be briefed on the situation.

“Zisco . . . will certainly be a priority but I am yet to be fully briefed,” said Minister Nzenza.

Efforts to get a comment from Zisco acting chairperson Dr. Gift Mugano proved fruitless.

ZISCO stopped operations in 2008, plagued by a lack of capital to recapitalise and mismanagement. With its furnaces having the capacity to produce up to one million tonnes of steel per year, the company was among major foreign currency earners.

Foreign investor interest

ZISCO has been a subject of foreign investor interest in the past. Essar Africa Holdings, a unit of India’s Essar Group, had agreed to invest in ZISCO in 2011 during the era of the inclusive Government, but the deal collapsed in 2015. This was after a similar deal with another Indian firm, Global Steel Holdings failed to materialise in 2007.

Essar planned to build a new steelworks complex, replacing the antiquated plant and exported it via a terminal it wanted to build in the port of Beira, Mozambique.

The company was also looking into the feasibility of building iron ore and coal terminals at the port of Beira. There other international companies that once showed interest in Zisco include ArcelorMittal South Africa, a unit of the world’s biggest steel maker.

Former ministers to superintend over failed Zisco deals include Dr. Obert Mpofu in 2006 when the company was negotiating with Global Steel; Professor Welshman Ncube (Essar) during the inclusive Government between 2009 and 2013 during talks with Essar.

The deal collapsed when Dr. Mike Bimha was the Industry minister, leading to signing the deal between Zisco and R and F, which was renegotiated under Nqobizitha Ndlovu, recently reassigned as the Minister of Tourism and Hospitality Industry.

In 2018, Ndlovu told a business conference in Bulawayo that the Government was not satisfied with the progress, saying “we could open up for more interested investors.”

Last year, the Government took over both the external and domestic debt of Zisco of nearly $500 million as it sought to clear its balance sheet and attract investment.

Ziscosteel owed US$212 million in external loans, US$6 millio9 to external suppliers, $57 696 085 in domestic loans and $219 113 219 to domestic suppliers_Business Weekly

JOC to deal with maShurugwi

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THE Midlands Provincial Joint Operations Command (JOC) has been tasked with effectively dealing with the “maShurugwi” menace in order to bring sanity to artisanal mining in the province.

In an interview yesterday, the Minister of State for Provincial Affairs, Larry Mavima, said machete wars between artisanal miners need to be contained and JOC has been mandated to work towards that goal.

The machete-wielding illegal gold miners, Minister Mavima said, have done much damage in the Midlands province and seem unstoppable.

“The Government is not taking lightly the maShurugwi menace and the provincial JOC has been tasked with dealing with these machete-wielding gold miners ruthlessly so that we bring to an end unnecessary loss of lives and damage to property these people bring wherever they go. So JOC has met and is working on ways and means of dealing with them and it will be ruthless,” he said.

The Minister said Government has also been working with churches and traditional leaders in a bid to bring sanity between artisanal miners. “We are confident of putting a stop to this menace because we are also working with the church and traditional leaders to address this menace. It is like a cancer which needs to be nipped in the bud once and for all,” said Min Mavima.

He said machetes have been used to kill many people as they unleash a reign of terror in the Midlands province in the fight for control of gold claims and ore.

“It has always been Government position that violence has no place in this country and that is why we are working with JOC, churches and traditional leaders to restore sanity, peace, unity, and tranquility in the province and if we start here, it will cascade to all other provinces,” the Minister said.

He said maShurugwi have no role to play in the development of the country under the New Dispensation.

“Basically, these people are renegades and have no role to play in the New Dispensation. The new Government is pre-occupied with peace, unity, and development. This New Dispensation preaches peace, unity, and tranquility and doesn’t tolerate any form of violence in this lucrative industry. As the Provincial Minister as I alluded to earlier, we have tasked JOC to deal with them ruthlessly,” Min Mavima said.

Officially opening the Zimbabwe Miners’ Federation Annual General Meeting in Gweru recently, President Mnangagwa spoke strongly against violence in the artisanal mining sector_The Chronicle

BNC pleads for raise in forex retention

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BINDURA Nickel Corporation (BNC) says it is lobbying for the increase of foreign currency retention up to 80 percent citing inadequacy of the foreign currency as substantial amount of money is being directed towards dedicated power imports from South Africa.

The revelation was made during the Bindura Nickel Mine tour where the company indicated that it was spending substantial amount of foreign currency on direct power imports from Eskom in order to alleviate power outages currently obtaining in the country and improve the mine’s uptime.

Consequently, the nickel producing concern cited that the 50 percent they are currently retaining is minute to meet the overall foreign currency requirements for the mine given what is consumed by power imports thereby pleading with government to consider upward revision of foreign currency retention by the nickel miner.

The company also highlighted that it had reached an arrangement to remunerate its skilled workforce in foreign currency so as to retain expertise and avoid skills flight. Bindura Nickel Corporation managing director Batirai Manhando told Business Weekly in an interview that his firm was anticipating an upward review of above 80 percent in order to meet their foreign currency demands.

“We actually prepaid power from South Africa for us to guarantee constant supply and this has constrained US dollars that are available for other operations and the 50 percent retention is clearly inadequate we have lobbied the Government to say, can you increase what we retain, I think Government is still looking at that, we are looking at retention northwards of 80 percent for us to remain viable.

“And since we started this there has been a steady supply of power. Fine we get loading shedding here and there but by and large we are getting a better supply of power,” said Manhando.

BNC is one of the selected companies that have resorted to power imports to deal with obtaining power outages.

Solar Power

The firm, whose 75 percent shareholding was acquired by Sotic International, hinted on moving towards powering the mining operation with solar power in the near future saying it had already consulted companies on the feasibility.

Without smelter operations the firm uses an average of 15 megawatts per day, power consumption BNC expects to triple when the smelter operations kick in.

“We have plans to go solar, we are consulting a lot of companies at the moment to tender supply of solar power and also the funding modalities.

“We intend to have a solar plant that can power the entire mine especially during the day and create enough battery capacity to support evening operations.

“The guys we are talking to right now are talking of 45 MW facility and with current operations, we are using 15 megawatts but when smelter begins operations we will reach 45 megawatts,” he said.

BNC is currently producing an average of 500 tonnes per month and is hopeful the commodity price will be on an upward trajectory in years to come especially if the traction about electric vehicles continues to gain momentum_Business Weekly

Zesa lacks critical skills: Gata

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The newly constituted Zesa Holdings (Pvt) Ltd board will have its work cut out as it faces a daunting task to light up its generation capacities amid a crippling skills flight.

Energy and Power Development Minister Fortune Chasi last week announced the return of Dr. Sydney Gata to the power utility as executive chairman.

He will be deputised by Tsitsi Makovah in a board that also includes economist Professor Ashok Chakravati, investment banker Jonathan Wood, engineer Wadzanai Chigwa, business executive Stella Nkomo, Rosemary Siyachitema, accountant Caroline Mathonsi, and seasoned lawyer James Muzangaza.

Addressing a media briefing after their inaugural meeting with Minister Chasi on Wednesday, Dr. Gata said his first three days back in office had him seeing a dedicated and enthusiastic workforce at the power utility but its efforts could be curtailed by a skills flight.

Dr Gata said records at the power utility show that close to 600 former Zesa technical staff had left for greener pastures in the United Kingdom, Australia and neighbouring South Africa.

“The task ahead of us is a very tough one,” said Gata.

“I have been in my office now for three days since my appointment. I do find that while (workers’) spirit (to do the job) is very high, the capacities have depleted very much.  If we just factor the fact that for instance the national grid of the United Kingdom they are 72 ex-Zesa employees.

“One utility in Australia has got 65, Eskom about three months ago, the count was 430 ex-Zesa technical staff . . . so the organisation has been severely depleted of the capacities it used to command. That will be a major challenge,” he said.

In response to the deficit, Zesa has turned to South Africa and Mozambique for imports to cover the gap but this again has not been sufficient as the neighbours are also grappling with depressed generation.

Lack of foreign currency to pay for the imports has also hampered Zesa.

“(Minister) you said you wanted to see a hands-on board, this is a critical condition for success, the board has to be present.

“Intellectually present in the deliberations of this industry otherwise we won’t succeed,” said Dr. Gata.

The Zesa board gets into office to find a damning forensic audit report which details several cases of corruption on the desk_BunessWeekly

‘Kariba won’t shut down’

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Power output at Kariba South will remain curtailed, Zesa Holdings says, but the plant will not be shut down due to critically low water levels, as onset of the rainy season has seen inflows into the dam gradually increasing.

This comes as Zimbabwe faces a crippling power shortage, which has forced the country to rely on rolling power cuts (which mostly last 18 hours) and imported power, at a time it faces critical shortage of foreign currency.

There were concerns, even from the State power utility’s officials earlier in the year, that with Zimbabwe and Zambia heavily dependent on Kariba for their main source of power, the Kariba Dam level would continue to fall at a fast rate than its inflow, leading to possible depletion of the reservoir.

Zimbabwe has become ever more dependent on Kariba, given the reliability issues that frequently dog the country’s second and only other major power plant, Hwange.

The fact that the power plant is now old, and has suffered from limited or negligent maintenance, has made it prone to frequent break downs.

Ordinarily, Kariba Dam requires a minimum of three good rainy seasons to fill up if the water drops to a critical level.

Kariba South Power Station had its generation capacity increased from 750 megawatts to 1050MW, which was completed in March last year resulting in it becoming the country’s single largest power (hydro) plant.

Kariba Dam is designed to operate at maximum level of 488 metres at the dam wall, but the drought that ravaged north of the Zambezi River, the main feeder river of the dam, has caused the water level to fall to 477,19m.

Low water level in the Kariba Dam prompted the Zambezi River Authority, which administers the affairs of the lake, to ration water to both Zimbabwe and Zambia for power generation; allow them to do a maximum 357 to avoid depleting the dam.

While the water level appears high enough to sustain high power output, the reality is that only a percentage of the water, known as live water – between 488m and 475m (with 0,70m) freeboard – is usable for purposes of generating electricity.

At current level, the dam is 12 percent (of live water) full while at the same time last year, with the lake water level sitting at 483,49m the dam was roughly 59 percent full, in terms of the water used to generate electricity.

At the current 477,19m it means only 2 meters of remaining water can be used to generate power and below that threshold, the dam can only holds what is technically called “dead water”, which only usable for recreation and fishing.

But Zesa spokesman Fullard Gwasira allayed fears this week that the Kariba South power plant could be forced to shut down to save the reservoir the danger of depleting it too dangerous levels.

“Kariba will not shut down. Production will remain curtailed due to the low water levels.

“With the onset of the rainy season, we expect inflows to improve and incrementally production to increase,” Gwasira said.

But power utility Zesa, together with their counterpart in Zambia, can make a decision to maintain power generation at constant levels that enable them to let water out of the dam via the power stations and down the river at the same rate the water flows in.

The hydro-metric network used for the control and day to day operations of the Kariba reservoir comprise of 13 stations where water levels are monitored daily. Flow measurements are carried out at eight of these stations which include the Victoria Falls, one of the key stations on the Zambezi River.

The maximum flow recorded at Victoria Falls was during the early construction phase of Kariba Dam in March 1958 at 10 000 cubic metres per second.

The lowest flows recorded to date at Victoria Falls were during the 1995/96 season which had an annual mean flow of 390 cubic metres per second.

The Long Term Mean Annual flow at Victoria Falls is 1 100 cubic metres per second. Flows at Victoria Falls increased during the week under review before closing at 204m3/s on November 25, 2019, from 189 m3 /s just under a week ago.

Last year on the same date, the flow on the Zambezi was 244m3/

 

Business Weekly

Shocking state of geological maps at Chinhoyi Ministry of mines

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The notion by many citizens that it is high time for the country to move from the archaic system of holding government documents only on paper into a computerised system has proven to be something that needs to be done as a matter of urgency.

When Mining Zimbabwe visited Mashonaland West Ministry of Mines and Mining Development offices in Chinhoyi we were shocked at the state of Geological Maps at the institution.

Zimbabwe geological map
Geological map 1
Zimbabwe geological map
Geological map 2

The Ministry’s provincial office has only a handful of proper maps, the rest are torn from old age and should be discarded. The maps were from Rhodesia meaning as the post-independent Zimbabwe no maps have ever been developed or any more geological surveys?

The state of geological maps in one of the areas that are considered to be very rich in minerals is a cause for concern for the government not to see that the country is in urgent need for a computerised culture in doing business.

Zimbabwe geological maps
Geological map 4

 

 

 

 

Geological map (notice RHODESIA on the map)

The government of Zimbabwe recently projected the USD12 billion mining industry by 2023 and serious steps need to be taken in repairing some of the urgent tasks. Digitalisation of mining titles, geological maps, registration online and uploading mining geologicals online needs urgent attention to ensure smooth flowing of the critical sector.

One advantage of digitalising the maps is the maps can be constantly updated without the need for printing new maps all the time.

The current Minister of Mines and Mining Development Hon Winston Chitando said the Ministry will be fully computerised by the end of 2021.

Chasi justifies Gata appointment

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Energy and Power Development Minister Fortune Chasi has defended the appointment of Dr Sydney Zukuzo Gata as executive chairman to the Zesa Holdings (Pvt) Ltd board saying his decision was informed by the need to bring somebody with a clearer and thorough understanding of the goings on at the power utility.

Dr Gata who has previously saved as both Chief Executive and Executive Chairman of the power utility and many have seen his reappointment at a time Zesa is faced with a myriad of challenges that have resulted in crippling power outages as a step backwards.

But in an interview on the sidelines of his inaugural meeting with the 10 member board, Minister Chasi lept to Dr Gata’s defence describing him as the best man for the job.

“What has informed my decision is that I need somebody who has a very clear and thorough understanding of the workings of ZESA and I found that in Dr. Gata,” said Minister Chasi.

“I also needed somebody who will break the barriers, who is not bureaucratic, who understand and is current regarding what Government is looking at with regards to Zesa.

“Somebody who is fast paced who has got the energy to deal with the myriad of issues that are at Zesa,” he said.

China’s Saudi crude imports rise 76% in October on increasing demand

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China’s crude oil imports from Saudi Arabia rose 76.3% in October, boosted by demand from new refiners, with the kingdom retaining its position as the top supplier to the world’s biggest oil importer.

Saudi shipments grew to 8.41 million tonnes, or 1.98 million barrels per day (bpd), compared with 1.74 million bpd in September and 1.12 million bpd in same period last year, data from the General Administration of Customs showed on Monday.

Two new integrated independent refineries, Hengli Petrochemical Co in the north and Zhejiang Petrochemical in the south, have supported crude arrivals from Saudi.

The impact of a drone and missile attack on Saudi oil-processing plants on Sept. 14 did not limit October oil flows, as Saudi Aramco drew on inventories to maintain supplies to customers.

Analysts from the Refinitiv Oil Research team expect the supply disruption in Saudi may start to show in cargo arrivals in November.

Chinese customs did not give a number for Venezuelan crude imports but analysts expect the figure to have fallen to zero last month as buyers stopped taking oil from the South American exporter amid sanctions imposed by the United States.

Imports from Iran remained stable at 532,790 tonnes in October, just below 538,878 tonnes in September, despite persistent tensions between Washington and Tehran.

China’s Malaysian crude imports in October doubled from the last year’s level, reaching 1.95 million tonnes.

Shipments from Malaysia, such as Mal blend and Singma blend, are typically a mixture of Venezuelan, Iranian and other grades, according to Emma Li, senior oil analyst with Refinitiv.

“Direct imports from Venezuela have been cut to zero but (demand for) Mal blend remains strong, which is reflected in the Malaysia number,” said Li.

The Refinitiv research team also expects Malaysian arrivals to reach a record as a result of U.S. sanctions on exports of Iranian and Venezuelan crude.

Imports of U.S. crude in October reached 908,422 tonnes, up from 517,982 tonnes in September.

Arrivals of Russian crude rose to 6.97 million tonnes from 6.31 million tonnes in previous month.  – Reuters

Gold softens as trade deal signs boost equities, dollar

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Gold prices eased on today and were hovering close to a two-week low touched in the previous session as increasing signals that an interim trade deal could be reached soon buoyed riskier assets and the U.S. dollar.

Spot gold fell 0.1% to $1,459.10 per ounce. U.S. gold futures also shed 0.1% to $1,459.20.

Having dropped to a two-week low of $1,450.30 earlier on Tuesday, gold prices bounced back to settle higher and end a four-session losing streak.

“The decline of today is relatively small and can be seen as a consolidation after yesterday’s recovery,” said Carlo Alberto De Casa, chief analyst at ActivTrades, adding that rising share prices and a recovering dollar were relatively bearish for gold.

“What’s important is that prices are holding above $1,450… If prices fall below $1,445, then there will be a clear signal that we are entering a danger zone,” De Casa said, adding the markets are waiting for further details on the trade talks.

U.S. President Donald Trump on Tuesday said Washington was in the “final throes” of a deal that would defuse the 16-month tariff dispute with Beijing.

Expectations for an imminent closure to the long-drawn trade dispute encouraged world shares to make another push for a record high on Wednesday and supported the U.S. dollar against its key rivals.

Any increase in appetite for risk-bearing assets tends to weigh on safe-havens such as gold and yen, while a strong U.S. currency makes greenback-denominated bullion costlier for investors holding other currencies.

But market participants were still wary that bills passed by the United States supporting anti-government protesters in Hong Kong could complicate negotiations.

“Overall though, gold remains in the doldrums, entirely at the mercy of movements in other markets,” Jeffrey Halley, senior market analyst, Asia Pacific at OANDA said in a note.

“Critical support remains at $1,445 an ounce with formidable technical resistance remaining at $1,480 an ounce. Gold is adrift, with neither sail nor a following breeze, between these levels.”

Investors were also awaiting the Fed’s Beige Book of economic conditions among other data due later in the day.

The U.S. central bank had cut the benchmark rates for the third times this year before signalling a pause, adding another cut would be unlikely unless there was a downturn in the economy.

Elsewhere, silver shed 0.2% to $17.04 per ounce.

Palladium fell 0.6% to $1,799.59 an ounce, having surged to a three-week high on Tuesday, while platinum was down 0.5% to $903.31.

CNBC