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10 Zimbabweans jailed for illegal mining in SA

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TEN Zimbabwean men have been jailed for two years by a South African court after they were arrested for illegal mining activities in the Giyani area under Limpopo province.

The gang was arrested by the neighboring country’s elite police, the Hawks in May last year following a tip-off.

They were found with an assortment of mining equipment worth R900 000 and cash of R380 000 along the R81 near Giyani Shopping center.

The jailed are Mpathise Tshuma (29), Decent Ngwenya (22), Lamulani Sibanda (31), Skhumbuzo Mkandla (21), Ocean Mpofu (28), Prince Ndlovu (27), Brandon Nyoni (22), Clive Moyo (29), Tawanda Ndebele (33) and Philani Ndlovu (33).

Hawks’ spokesperson for Limpopo, Captain Matimba Maluleke said the gang had also been slapped with another six months jail term for violating that country’s immigration laws.

“The Directorate for Priority Crime Investigation would like to welcome the sentencing of ten (10) unlawful gold dealers by the Giyani Magistrate’s Court on Friday (1 April 2022),” he said.

“The accused persons who are all Zimbabwean nationals were arrested by the Hawks’ Serious Organised Crime Investigation members assisted by Giyani Police and Local Criminal Record Centre members on 14 May 2021.

Our members received a tip-off about people who were en-route from Phalaborwa to Giyani to sell gold”.

Captain Maluleke said the Hawks spotted the vehicle matching a description given by their  informant while traveling along the R81 road near the Giyani shopping complex.

He said the gang was cornered and the 10 occupants were found in the vehicle and they were searched.

Upon searching them, unwrought gold, pastel, scale, and mine detectors worth over R900 000-00 as well as R3800-00 cash were found and seized.

“The accused appeared several times in the Giyani Magistrate’s Court, and subsequently pleaded guilty to the charges.

The court sentenced them to two (2) years imprisonment for contravention of the Precious Metal Act of which one year is suspended and six months imprisonment for contravening the Immigration Act.

The sentences are to run concurrently,” said Capt Maluleke.

A few months ago, three Zimbabwean men and a South African national were arrested by police in Limpopo province who found them with three truckloads of chrome believed to have been illegally mined.

The four Lloyd Sithole (32), Moses Nemanganda (37), and Wilton Haruzi (34) all Zimbabweans, and a local man, Joseph Hlongwane (23) were arrested along the R37 road in Apel policing area.

Their trial is pending at the Sekhukhune Magistrate court on charges of illegal mining.

 

The Chronicle

Zimplats spends US$167 million in new mines

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ZIMBABWE’S largest platinum producer, Zimplats, has spent US$166,9 million on the development and upgrade of Mupani Mine against an approved project budget of US$388 million.

According the group’s half year results for the period ended 31 December 2021, the development and upgrade of Mupani Mine was on schedule with earthworks for the dome and load out station complete.

“North downcast ventilation shaft reaming was completed and decline development is progressing on plan. Mupani Mine targets 2,2 million tonnes per annum production in August 2025 and 3,6 million tonnes per annum in August 2027,” the report reads in part.

“A total of US$166,9 million had been spent on this project as at 31 December 2021 against an approved project budget of US$388 million.”

The company also revealed the redevelopment of Bimha Mine, another operation at Zimplats, was completed within budget at US$99,8 million.

“The upgrading of Bimha Mine was progressing well, targeting achievement of 3,1 million tonnes per annum in the first quarter of the financial year 2024. Mining of declines to the north crusher chamber was completed. Mining of crusher ramps to North crusher chamber will be completed in January 2022,” it said.

A total of US$16,9 million had been spent on this project as at 31 December 2021 against an approved project budget of US$81,7 million.

Zimplats said pre-feasibility studies for the establishment of a 2,1 million tonnes per annum mine required to increase mining ore output from the current 6,7 million tonnes to 8,8 million tonnes commenced in the half year targeting completion in August 2022.

A bankable feasibility study will be commissioned thereafter in preparation for the commencement of mine development work, it said.

The mining company said construction of the third 0,9 million tonnes per annum concentrator plant in Ngezi targets commissioning in August 2022. Main site activities in the half year under review were earthworks, concrete pouring, and fabrication and installation of structural steel.

Full equipment delivery will be achieved in May 2022, it revealed.

A total of US$27,7 million was spent on the project in the period under review against a budget of US$75 million.

The plant was designed with flexibility for upgrading it to 2,2 million tonnes per annum, taking overall concentrator capacity from the current 6,7 million tonnes per annum to 8,8 million tonnes per annum.

“The expansion of the Selous Metallurgical Complex (SMC) smelter and installation of a sulphur dioxide abatement plant was approved by the board of directors in November 2021 at a combined budget of US$521 million.”

“Bridging engineering, procurement, construction management services and demolition works was adjudicated, and letters of award were issued in December 2021, with earthworks and civils contract procurement in progress. First matte and acid production is targeted for January 2024 and August 2024, respectively,” it said.

In the period under review, revenue stood at US$585 million, 13% lower than the same period in 2020 largely due to negative revenue from movements in commodity prices arising on pipeline sales following the decrease in average metal prices compared to the second half of the previous financial year.

 

The Standard 

Understanding theKimberly Process

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THE Kimberley Process started when Southern African diamond-producing states met in Kimberley, South Africa, in May 2000 to discuss ways to stop the trade in ‘conflict diamonds’ and ensure that diamond purchases were not financing violence by rebel movements and their allies seeking to undermine legitimate governments.

In December 2000, the United Nations General Assembly adopted a landmark resolution supporting the creation of an international certification scheme for rough diamonds.

By November 2002, negotiations between governments, the international diamond industry and civil society organisations resulted in the creation of the Kimberley Process Certification Scheme (KPCS).

The KPCS document sets out the requirements for controlling rough diamond production and trade.

The KPCS entered into force in 2003, when participating countries started to implement its rules.

Who is involved?
The Kimberley Process (KP) is open to all countries that are willing and able to implement its requirements.

The KP has 56 participants, representing 82 countries, with the European Union and its member states counting as a single participant.

KP members account for approximately 99,8 percent of the global production of rough diamonds.

In addition, the World Diamond Council, representing the international diamond industry, and civil society organisations, such as Partnership-Africa Canada, participate in the KP and have played a major role since its outset.
How does the Kimberley Process work?

The Kimberley Process Certification Scheme (KPCS) imposes extensive requirements (*) on its members to enable them to certify shipments of rough diamonds as ‘conflict-free’ and prevent conflict diamonds from entering the legitimate trade.

Under the terms of the KPCS, participating states must meet ‘minimum requirements’ and must put in place national legislation and institutions; export, import and internal controls; and also commit to transparency and the exchange of statistical data.

Participants can only legally trade with other participants who have also met the minimum requirements of the scheme, and international shipments of rough diamonds must be accompanied by a KP certificate guaranteeing that they are conflict-free.

The Kimberley Process is chaired, on a rotating basis, by participating countries.

So far, South Africa, Canada, the Russian Federation, Botswana, the European Union, India, Namibia, Israel, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, the United States of America, South Africa, the People’s Republic of China, Angola, Australia, the United Arab Emirates have chaired the KP, and the Russian Federation is the chair in 2020.

KP participating countries and industry and civil society observers gather twice a year at intersessional and plenary meetings, as well as in working groups and committees that meet  on a regular basis. Implementation is monitored through ‘review visits’ and annual reports as well as by regular exchange and analysis of statistical data.

Composition
Chair: The Kimberley Process Certification Scheme (KPCS) imposes extensive requirements (*) on its members to enable them to certify shipments of rough diamonds as ‘conflict-free’ and prevent conflict diamonds from entering the legitimate trade.

Under the terms of the KPCS, participating states must meet ‘minimum requirements’ and must put in place national legislation and institutions; export, import and internal controls; and also commit to transparency and the exchange of statistical data.

Participants can only legally trade with other participants who have also met the minimum requirements of the scheme, and international shipments of rough diamonds must be accompanied by a KP certificate guaranteeing that they are conflict-free.

Members: States must meet ‘minimum requirements’ and must put in place national legislation and institutions; export, import and internal controls; and also commit to transparency and the exchange of statistical data.

Participants can only legally trade with other participants who have also met the minimum requirements of the scheme, and international shipments of rough diamonds must be accompanied by a KP certificate guaranteeing that they are conflict-free.

The requirements for participation are outlined in Sections II, V (a) and VI (8,9) of the
KPCS.

History
2012 — Trade with other participants who have also met the minimum requirements of the scheme, and international shipments of rough diamonds must be accompanied by a KP certificate guaranteeing that they are conflict-free.

2011- Under the terms of the KPCS, participating states must meet ‘minimum requirements’ and must put in place national legislation and institutions; export, import and internal controls; and also commit to transparency and the exchange of statistical data.

Participants can only legally trade with other participants who have also met the minimum requirements of the scheme, and international shipments of rough diamonds must be accompanied by a KP certificate guaranteeing that they are conflict-free.

2010-Under the terms of the KPCS, participating states must meet ‘minimum requirements’ and must put in place national legislation and institutions; export, import and internal controls; and also commit to transparency and the exchange of statistical data.

kimberlyprocess.com

Premier African Minerals completes Zulu Lithium DFS funding

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Premier African Minerals saw its share price fall 4.5% to 0.3p in late afternoon trading on Tuesday after the company announced the completion of its Zulu Lithium Definitive Feasibility Study (DFS) funding.

Premier African Minerals reported its subscription agreement with Suzhou TA&A Ultra Clean Technology to raise £12 million prior to expenses at an issue price of 0.4p per new ordinary share in order to continue its Definitive Feasibility Study (DFS) at the company’s Lithium and Tantalum project.

The news followed Premier African Minerals’ announcement regarding the DFS funding on March 8 2022, in which CEO George Roach welcomed the subscription from Suzhou TA&A:

“I am delighted to accept this Subscription from Suzhou TA&A, and particularly that this makes available to Premier a wealth of expertise in this industry whilst aligning future offtake and mine development with Yibin Tianyi Lithium Industry Co. Ltd.”

“[The company] is a major producer of Lithium Hydroxides, financier and take-off partner for the Manono Lithium and Tin project and who have completed long term spodumene off-take agreements with Pilbara Minerals Limited.”

“I look forward to welcoming a new board member who will be nominated by Suzhou TA&A and active involvement from Suzhou TA&A in our DFS, particularly in the area of test work and flow sheet development.”

The company today announced the pending appointment of geologist Dr Luo Wei to its board of directors for Premier African Minerals, Zulu Lithium Mauritius Limited and Zulu Lithium Private Limited.

CEO George Roach commented positively on the outcome of the DFS funding in the reported update.

“I reiterate my welcome to our new shareholders and to Dr Lou Wei, and express my appreciation for the confidence in Premier and Zulu,” said Roach.

“Premier has already taken steps to expedite issues associated with resource definition needed to complete mine optimisation and test work and we will continue to accelerate all aspects of the DFS underway.”

First African Career Gemmologist capped

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Zimbabwean engineer Clever Sithole  was capped as the first Career Gemmologist from Africa. He studied with the World Gem Foundation after obtaining two scholarship fundings from the Tino Hammid Memorial Gemmological Scholarship Foundation and the W. E Hunn Memmorial Gemmological Scholarship Foundation. Eng Sithole completed his studies in Spain where he completed training at the Spanish Gem Academy to become the first career gemmologist in Africa including the Diamonds & Coloured Stones professional endorsement from the same institution.

The World Gem Foundation provides quality and affordable gemmological training to students, jewellers and professional gemmologists. Currently there are fourteen national and regional gem academies worldwide allowing students to study locally but to be recognized internationally. They offer three diploma programs (Career Gemmologist, Diamond Professional & Coloured Gemstone Professional) and an array of courses ranging from basic through advanced gemmology to gem identification, diamonds and coloured gemstones.

The World Gem Foundation is the publisher of the magazine Gemmology Today, and Eng. Sithole is featured on the front cover of the latest edition published in January 2022.

Tharisa acquires Karo platinum project in Zimbabwe

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Platinum producer Tharisa Plc has acquired a controlling stake in a platinum group metals (PGMs) project in Zimbabwe which will eventually double its output, it said on Thursday.

Tharisa exercised an option to increase its stake in Karo Mining Holdings Limited from 26.8% to 66.3% in an all-share deal valued at $27 million.

The Karo project, expected to start producing in two years, will produce 150,000 ounces a year of PGMs in concentrate in its first phase, the company said.

Prices of PGMs including platinum and palladium have surged since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, as Western sanctions on Russia squeeze supply of the metals. Russia produces 25-30% of the world’s palladium.

“With the challenges and uncertainty to the supply chain of these vital precious metals, a new short-dated source of primarily platinum and palladium metals is a significant risk mitigant for global users and provides security and certainty of supply,” said Tharisa CEO Phoevos Pouroulis.

The Karo project’s resources are split between platinum (45%), palladium (42%), rhodium (4%) and gold (9%).

Reuters

New Mines and Minerals Act needed to end chaos in sector

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Mines and mineral activities in Zimbabwe are currently being regulated by the Mines and Minerals Act of 1963, which has proved to be an obsolete piece of legislation out of touch with contemporary activities as well as the nature in the current industry.

This opinion piece serves to depict the deficiencies that have grown over the years in the colonial legislation making it inadequate to regulate the current mining landscape, with object to canvass for an all-encompassing legislation that speaks to the exigencies of the time in the industry with the aim of fostering sustainable mining in line with the values of an open democratic society, human dignity, equality and freedom.

The prevailing presumption among the legal minds in the mining fraternity is that legislation was modelled in a manner that was meant to safeguard the interests of the colonial elite and those in the echelons of power.

The attainment of independence in Zimbabwe in 1980 saw the country adopting democratic values in which transparency and equality was sought.

The post-independence period sought a new era for the judicious exploitation of the national endowments for the benefit of the citizenry.

This became the core of governance in the mining industry.

There have been several attempts by the legislature to cure the legislation through amendments but the legislation has remained inadequate in nature to govern the developments in the industry.

The biggest pitfall of the Mines and Minerals Act of 1963 is that it lacks statutory measures and provisions which can prevent mineral revenue leakages, corruption, vague mining licensing and poor mining taxation and royalty system.

As has been alluded before, the Act was crafted particularly targeting big mining conglomerates which existed during the time.

The empowerment drive of 2000 saw small players who are mainly locals and Chinese taking the centre stages.

Unlike the former conglomerates which had formal and auditable systems, the small scale player coming in saw the increase in revenue leakages, corruption and a host of other mining industry economic ills manifesting.

The legislature reacted to these misfortunes through the Mines and Minerals bill of 2015.

Among other aims, the Bill sought to plug numerous revenue leakages and corruption which are bedevilling the industry which the 1963 Act had failed to deal with.

However, the disheartening legislative development is that the Bill remains a pipe dream as it is yet to come into law since 2015.

What is discouraging is the lack of urgency and reluctance by the legislature and Executive in promulgating and subsequently enacting it into law.

Revenue leakages and corruption continues unabated in the mining industry. One would wonder why it has taken the executive such a long time to enact the Bill despite the government mantra of “US$12bn mining economy by 2023” and  “growing the national revenue base and plugging leakages in the mining industry”.

One would wonder the sincerity of the executive in that call, or whether the executive has become a player-regulator who is unwilling to blow himself the whistle.

The new Bill contains a cocktail of measures aimed at addressing a myriad of challenges in the Mining sector.

Section 14(1) of the new Bill provides for a cadastre system, which means the use of manual or electronic management and recording of processes that create mining rights and titles.

The cadastre system will be an efficient way of management of mining activities in the sense that it will remove the corrupt human element and provide a tool which will make profiling and compliance by operating licence holders easy.

If properly and effectively implemented, the cadastre system will improve the public’s access to data or information about mining licences, a legal provision which is not provided for by the current Mines and Mineral Act.

However, the legislature should fine-tune the provision which violates the separation of power principle through which our constitution is founded.

The Bill provides that the Permanent Secretary of Mines will double as the registrar of cadastre system and as the chair of Mining Affairs Board.

This undermining of the separation of power principle will negate the freedom, tenor and purports of democracy which the masses of Zimbabwe envisaged through the yes vote in which brought the 2013 democratic constitution.

The same scenario also negates the principles of corporate governance as it creates room for abuse of power and corruption in awarding mining licenses. An independent body should assume such responsibilities.

Section 19(1) of the new bill states that, “Where two or more competing applications are received in respect of the same area or the same overlapping areas from two or more persons on the same business day, the application which is first received on that business day shall be deemed to have priority over any other”

This is a sound, self-executing, progressive legal provision meant to clamp down the discretion of mine officers which is being corruptly abused and perpetuating disputes and unnecessary clogging the courts.

Under this provision the serving of licenses will be on a first come first serve basis. Double licensing and allocation has been the cause of machete wars and unrest in the industry. However, the legislature needs to have made this provision in retrospect to deal with the already existing disputes.

The adoption of the use it or lose it principle in the new Mines and Minerals bill is one of the profound provisions.

However, the government needs to take into account the principle of sustainable mining. Sustainable mining principles provide that mining must be done progressively taking into account the need for future generation and industry.

The use it or lose it principle provides that the government can repossess a mining licence which was acquired for speculative purposes.

The principle will force mining companies to be productive and contribute to the national mineral output.

Section 27(2) provides that an exclusive prospecting licence shall not entitle the prospector to remove or dispose of any mineral, mineral oil, nuclear energy mineral or natural gas discovered within the area specified in the licence, except for the bona fide purpose of having it assayed or for 25 determining its nature and unless the Cadastre Registrar has given prior written permission for it to be removed or disposed of”

This section plays a very critical role in curbing the ongoing mineral resource leakages which is taking place in the country on alluvial mining of the country’s precious minerals such as diamonds.

It is a public secret that some very big mining companies are conducting mining operations under the auspices of exploration which section 27(2) wants to cure.

Transparency and accountability were some of the thorny issues in the mining industry, however under the new Bill mining giants will now be obliged to be listed in the stock exchange, which is a positive development in the promotion of accountability, transparency and curbing illicit financial flows ravaging Zimbabwe’s mining sector.

Section 85B of the Bill states that, “Any owner or occupier of ground who is injuriously affected by the exercise of any rights under any mining rights or title granted under this Act shall be entitled to recover compensation from the person to whom the mining rights or title was granted or in whose favour the mining rights or title was made in such amount as may be agreed upon or, failing such agreement, as shall be determined by the Administrative Court”.

This section in the Bill is progressive because it provides compensation caused by mining activities which is in line with the law of damages.

However, the challenge with this particular provision is that it fails to make it mandatory for any victim who is displaced due to mining activity to claim compensation before being relocated. Mining companies can take forever to compensate displaced inhabitants and the inhabitants being on the weaker side of the bargain will be vulnerable. The Bill should unequivocally provide for the compensation before removal so as to protect the right to shelter and human dignity.

We have thousands of Zimbabweans being relocated without compensation by mining companies and up to day they have never received any compensation, a development which is unjust and unfair in a democratic society based on human dignity.

Zororai Nkomo is a Zimbabwean journalist, Lawyer and Environmental Justice Activist, he writes in his own personal capacity. He can be contacted on [email protected]

Gold glitters as exports double

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Zimbabwe’s gold export revenue more than doubled in the month of February  to US$134,99m  from US$66,18m achieved in the prior comparative period on the back of increased output and firming  prices, Business Times can report.

Gold delivered to the country’s sole buyer and marketer of the yellow metal, Fidelity Printers and Refiners (FPR) soared 92% to  2,26 tonnes from 1,178 tonnes delivered in the same period last year.

FPR acting general manager Peter Magaramombe told Business Times that mining incentives pushed volumes in the gold sector.

“This year gold export receipts were off to a strong start  due to firm commodity prices on the international market.

“We hope  to continue riding on this purple up to year end,” Magaramombe said.

The country’s gold deliveries also jumped 137% to 5,131 tonnes during the first two months of 2022 from 2,168 tonnes during the comparable period due to improved mining policies.

The total gold delivered to FPR in January 2022 stood at 2,867 tonnes  at an average price of US$58 410 per kilogramme  against  January’s output of 0.997 tonnes at an average of US$60 002 per kg.

The small scale miners delivered 2,05 tonnes in January this year from 0,355 tonnes  delivered during the same period last year while large scale producers  delivered 0,814 tonnes  against  0,642 tonnes.

The Chamber of Mines of Zimbabwe  chief executive officer Isaac Kwesu  said there was need for improved production to capitalise on the current strong mineral prices.

“The firm commodity prices continue to be good for miners but there is a need to ramp up production to ensure that we have capitalised on this current wave of very good   prices,” Kwesu said.

He said though the output is fairly good, there was still a long way to go to achieve an average of 8,3 tonnes per month to reach 100 tonnes a year.

The country’s gold export receipts rose by 42% to US$1,7bn last year from the US$1,2bn earned in 2020 due to improved gold output and firm prices.

Gold deliveries to FPR soared 55% to record 29.6 tonnes   in 2021 from 19,05 in 2020 on the back of timeous payments and incentives given to yellow metal producers.

The 33,4 tonnes of gold delivered in 2018 is the best output ever, followed by 29,6 tonnes last year and 29,4 in 2018.

Gold is the third largest foreign currency earner after platinum and diaspora remittances.

However, the yellow metal has in the past been smuggled due to payment delays by FPR and low prices compared to those obtained on the international market.

Authorities have rectified the problem with payment being timeous and prices at par with those on the international markets.

In addition, the central bank has also scrapped taxes on small scale miners to encourage deliveries through formal channels.

Experts say there is a need to review retention levels for the large scale miners and capacitation of small scale miners to ramp up production.

On Tuesday, the international gold prices stood at US $61 665 per kilogramme and Fidelity was paying above US$61587  per kg to those who delivered above 20kg.

The government has moved to provide equipment in gold centres to move towards helping the attainment of US$4bn gold export revenue.

 

 

 

Miners expect big rally in commodities

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Zimbabwe’s mining sector is anticipating to benefit from elevated commodity prices  in the international market  this year with the Russia-Ukraine conflict playing a more prominent role in driving up prices.

Export receipts are expected to hit US$6bn  this year as sanctions are expected to restrict Russia minerals to be sold outside its borders thereby creating huge demand for Zimbabwe’s minerals, according to Chamber of Mines of Zimbabwe CEO Isaac Kwesu.

“The geopolitical conflict between Russia and Ukraine is anticipated to somewhat pull down the world economic growth from the original forecasts with potential consequences of price hikes in various commodities and the impact will invariably result in high energy and food prices,” Kwesu told Business Times.

He said the crisis was having “positive spinoffs” on metal prices with gold, PGMs and some base metals such as nickel already surging above 2021 averages.

“High uncertainty to propel precious metal prices for the greater part of 2022, precious metals will find support as a safe haven on the back of the crisis in Europe. We anticipate gold prices to trend towards the all-time high reached in 2020,” Kwesu said.

He said palladium prices were also expected to reach their previous peaks as deficits emerge from constriction of supply from Russia- the world’s largest producer.

Platinum prices will also trend up with the increasing fungibility with palladium.

Coal prices are expected to slightly improve as Russia’s supply to Europe was restricted, Kwesu said.Base metal prices are projected to hit peaks on the backdrop of political risks and supply chain constraints.

Low metal inventories and strong consistent demand in the economic recovery has been supporting prices.

As Russia and Ukraine are global leaders in metal markets such as nickel, copper, iron, the ongoing conflict has the potential to spur supply bottlenecks and this is expected to push up metal prices, Kwesu said.

In its latest economic outlook bulletin , the Chamber of Mines said Zimbabwe’s mining sector was set to benefit from global developments in 2022 and favourable commodity prices were expected to spur the mining sector’s performance.

The State of the Mining Industry Survey conducted by the Chamber of Mines last year indicates that mining companies are ramping up production in 2022, with mineral exports expected to benefit from favourable prices.

The gold and PGMs sectors are the main growth pillars for the mining sector in 2022.

“The mining industry is expected to generate approximately US$5,5bn in 2022, underpinned by strong performance in gold with US$2,1bn, palladium with US$1bn and diamond with US$0,8bn,”reads part of the Chamber’s report.

The downside risks to the above projections include an erratic power supply (resulting in production disruptions), capital shortages, exchange rate volatility and widening parallel exchange market premiums and foreign exchange constraints, it said.

The global economy which was projected to grow by 4,5% in 2022, is set to be affected by the geopolitical conflict between Russia and Ukraine which has already affected value chains across the world.

The conflict will have far-reaching global political and economic consequences, particularly in the first half of 2022.

Russia is the second-largest oil producer and supplies over 45% of Europe’s oil and natural gas.

Russia also supplies 6% of the world’s aluminium and is a major player in PGMs markets producing 38% and 10% of global palladium and platinum, respectively.

This means that sanctions that have since been imposed on Russia by the US, British, and other European countries, which include removal of Russian banks from Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication (Swift) and a suspension of the Nord Stream 2 natural gas pipeline, would destabilise commodity markets.

Although there are no direct sanctions on commodity producers, the removal of some Russian banks from the SWIFT payment system will massively complicate international trade finance.

Inflation, a major risk, is anticipated to remain high in 2022, partly due to fiscal and monetary policies put in place to alleviate the effects of Covid-19 and the rallying commodity prices.

Additional inflationary pressures are expected to emanate from elevated food and oil prices as well as associated lagged pass-through effects, particularly in developing economies.

Global economies still face significant threats of resurgent new Covid-19 variants and reduced vaccine efficacy against new highly transmissible variants implies that the evolution of the pandemic remains uncertain.

With potential intermittent outbreaks, supply-chain bottlenecks across different sectors will likely persist in 2022, weighing down the prospects of developing economies, most of which are heavily dependent on commodity exports.

In 2022 gold price is expected to remain elevated above US$1,900/ounce throughout the year.

“With the geopolitical tension, gold still will be a main safe haven asset. Meanwhile, the gold price has already responded to the unfolding crisis in Europe, surging above the US$2,000/ounce mark during the period of conflict, from an average of US$1,750/ounce in December 2021.

“Gold will also have support from high demand from central banks and jewellery sectors. In the second half of 2022, we anticipate the gold market to revert to macro drivers such as real rates, U.S. Federal Reserve policy as well as the growth outlook. We, therefore, expect the gold price to taper off at prices above the 2021 average,” the Chamber said.

A miner who preferred anonymity said the mining sector anticipates to grow and reach the government target of 8%, with attendant benefits including improved foreign currency receipts and other contributions to the economy.

Notwithstanding the buoyant outlook and inherent potential of the mining industry, the mining sector is not immune from the systemic challenges that continue to affect the economy, with other specific challenges impacting negatively on mineral performance including inadequate foreign currency allocations and loss of value on the surrender portion.

“We expect the government to remove various bottlenecks and capitalise on the current commodity price boom to maximise on the situation,” he said.

In the outlook, mining experts said that there is a need for the government to work closely with the private sector to address all structural bottlenecks, improve the operating environment and unlock the full potential for the mining sector.

 

 

Business Times

PPC projects 8% sales volumes growth

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Regional cement maker, PPC Limited, expects sales volumes to increase by between 4% and 8%  with Zimbabwe and Rwanda being the key contributors.

In a trading update, PPC said Zimbabwe’s operations  will record a double digit volume growth.

“PPC expects total group cement sales volumes for the twelve months ending March 31, 2022 to increase by 4%-8% year-on-year, with double digit volume growth in Zimbabwe and Rwanda.”

However, this projection is much lower than that of the cement manufacturer’s previous financial period which had cement sales volumes at 11% – 15%.

“PPC Zimbabwe continues to trade well and ahead of expectations. For the twelve months ending 31 March 2022, PPC Zimbabwe’s cement sales volumes are expected to increase by 21%-25% year-on-year,” PPC said.

PPC said increased retail demand, increased sales to concrete product manufacturers, and support from Government-funded projects would push growth in Zimbabwe.

In the materials category the company reported a recovery in its readymix and aggregates businesses, due to an increase in construction activity within the regions it operates in. Thus, PPC expects sales volumes for the two materials to increase, upping revenues for the division.

“For the twelve months ending 31 March 2022, PPC expects ready mix volumes to increase by 5%-10% year-on-year, while aggregates volumes are expected to increase by 10%-14% year-on-year,” PPC said.

PPC, however, expects its fly ash sales volumes to decrease by 14%- 18% due to an unusually strong performance in the prior year due to lack of slag in the market.

Overall the company has a positive outlook for the following financial year with the company  saying: “PPC is well-positioned to benefit from growing cement demand in the territories it operates. The group remains focused on improving operational efficiencies to ensure financial sustainability through all demand cycles.”

 

Business Times